LOB

Понимаю, минус. не переводчик. только читатель. со словарем :)

GOLDMAN SACHS О ДОЛЛАРЕ…

1) Growth slows back below potential (but remains clearly positive), the period of rapid improvement in the labour market comes to an end, and the Fed
resumes balance sheet expansion via sterilised QE3.
2) Growth is close to trend, the unemployment rate continues to fall slowly, and the Fed remains on hold but abstains from QE3.

The main difference between the first and second scenarios is whether QE3 happens, i.e., whether the Fed engages in additional easing or simply stays on hold.

The first and in our opinion most likely scenario corresponds to the baseline for our FX forecasts, which foresee weaker US data and sterilised QE3. In such a world, we would expect the broad USD to fall 5% over the next year, with EUR/$ rising to 1.45 and $/JPY falling back to 74.00. We think the second, somewhat less likely, scenario sees USD trade in a range, with FX markets dominated by idiosyncratic moves that reflect country-specific developments.

www.fxstreet.com/technical/currencies-forecast/?pair=eurusd&time=2012-97 прогнозы по основным мажорам

Простите за простынь, да еще на аглицком: с такими сентиментами покупать? не впервой :)

EURUSD Comments:
ecPulse.com analysis team:
Breaking 1.3000 accompanied by a weekly closing will force the pair towards 1.2800 followed by 1.2600 before any upside attempts
Gavin Grier-Rees:
The sugar rush from the ECB LTRO is already fading as austerity policies tip peripheral countries back into destabilizing recessions — again. Across the pond the US continues to grow and the EU-US economic divergence widens by the day. So EUR USD down on both European negatives AND US positives.
Hugo Venter:
The strong downwards movement over the last few days is typical third wave behaviour which is what we expected to see within the pair. We expect that we are likely to see the end of the first wave within this third wave which would result in a corrective structure that would see the pair move higher and sideways in short term.
Mel Knox:
A sustained break below 1.3000 may be a challenge in the week ahead.
Scott Nourse:
As EU bond yields begin to rise again and the ECB outlook is gloomy and dovish, we expect further Euro printing to weaken the currency. We may see consolidation under 1.3000 before a big push toward 1.2000 when the next shoe drops.
Shawn Beecher:
Strong USD = weak Euro…..with an even weaker Euro to follow.
Yohay Elam:
The deterioration in the debt crisis happened sooner than expected. Together with consistent US stability, there's more room for drops in the pair.

ПС. буржуазный декаданс прям :)

Лучше фибо — только облако :) временами они меняются. но не масд, болинджер, стох и прочая лабуда!!!

Именно. фиба никогда не обманывает. иногда фолсит :) но работает!

Вопрос фунтику.

Вы пробовали торговать на теории ЦСА ??? не уподобоваримо. как только на фору вмешиваются звезды — фибо не работает

Отчет комиссии CFTC на 03 апреля: сальдо коротких позиций спекулянтов на CHICAGO MERCANTILE EXCHANGE уменьшилось на 10.479 контрактов до 78.701 штук (1 к = EUR 125,000) — cftc.gov/dea/options/deacmelof.htm

Нет, не поменялась :)

fotohost.org/images/a1abd442-181kB.jpg

Ищу покупки в среднесрок на 2-3 месяца. апрель-май — сохранение давления на Еву. тактически буду продавать на возможном прорыве 1,30. глубоко вниз не смотрю. график с вариантами выкладывал на прошлой недел fotohost.org/images/a15e17a1-293kB.jpg

Прогноз принимается :) фиугральный в том числе :):) подкрепите графиком каким?